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Weather Conditions from The Weather Channel

Local Severe Weather Alert for location

Surface low could develop near Florida

Tropics Watch: Daily Map Analysis<br/><br/>- An upper-level trough over the Gulf and strong easterly surface winds off the Atlantic will cause locally heavy rains and dangerous beach conditions along the east coast of Florida throughout the weekend<br/><br/>- A surface low pressure system, probably not fully tropical at first, is likely to form late this weekend over the eastern Gulf of Mexico, southern Florida, and/or the Bahamas, and then head generally north toward the southeast U.S.<br/><br/>- Tropical Storm Philippe is no threat to any land areas and will accelerate northeastward out to sea, weaken, and become non-tropical over the north-central Atlantic this weekend<br/><br/>- Tropical Storm Jova and Hurricane Irwin, although currently well offshore the Pacific coast of Mexico, will move to the east and likely affect central Mexico directly, starting with Jova possibly making landfall as a major hurricane on Monday or Tuesday<br/><br/>- New western Pacific tropical cyclone likely to form this weekend, then strengthen and affect the Philippines early to mid next week<br/><br/>ATLANTIC BASIN<br/><br/>* System affecting Florida<br/><br/>- The combination of an upper-level trough over the Gulf of Mexico, and a tight surface pressure gradient over Florida between a strong eastern U.S. high and a broad surface trough over the Caribbean, will cause strong and gusty east winds, locally heavy rains and flash flooding, and dangerous rip currents and hazardous boating conditions in Florida, especially along the east coast, and the Georgia coast, throughout the weekend<br/><br/>- The Caribbean surface trough will slowly amplify and move northward this weekend, and a surface low pressure circulation will likely form Sunday or Sunday night, over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, southern Florida, and/or the Bahamas<br/><br/>- The low will probably be broad and not fully tropical, at least at first, due to interaction with the upper-level trough<br/><br/>- The low will head generally northward, so some other portions of the southeastern U.S. likely to be affected early and middle portions of next week<br/><br/>- Still uncertain exactly how potent the low and its impacts might become, or exactly where they will be maximized<br/><br/>* Tropical Storm Philippe<br/><br/>- Over the open central Atlantic, well east of Bermuda, and no threat to land<br/><br/>- Will continue to accelerate to the northeast and out to sea, weaken, and become non-tropical this weekend<br/><br/>EASTERN PACIFIC<br/><br/>* Tropical Storm Jova<br/><br/>- Centered several hundred miles southwest of the Pacific coast of central Mexico, and will slowly head east-northeastward in the direction of the coast<br/><br/>- Expected to become a hurricane this weekend, and could become a major hurricane before making landfall somewhere along the Pacific coast of central Mexico on Monday or Tuesday<br/><br/>- Could cause damaging winds, storm surge, waves, and flooding rains along and near the coast<br/><br/>- Heavy rains and the threat of flash floods and mudslides will likely extend inland over central Mexico early to mid next week<br/><br/>* Hurricane Irwin<br/><br/>- Farther west and offshore than Jova, several hundred miles southwest of the Baja California Peninsula of Mexico, but will move generally to the east in the direction of Mexico the next several days<br/><br/>- Strengthening to a major hurricane is not expected, and forecast to weaken early-mid next week<br/><br/>- Could also directly affect Mexico next week, possibly making landfall as a tropical storm or maybe a hurricane late week<br/><br/>* Surface low south of eastern Mexico<br/><br/>- Appears likely to become a tropical depression today or Sunday<br/><br/>- Little forward motion expected through the weekend, but should eventually move to the north or northeast<br/><br/>- Could make landfall on the Pacific side of northern Central America or southeastern Mexico mid next week<br/><br/>WESTERN PACIFIC<br/><br/>An area of low pressure southwest of Guam appears likely to become a new tropical depression sometime this weekend. It will probably strengthen while heading generally westward, and it could directly affect the Philippines starting Monday night or Tuesday U.S. time.<br/><br/>


Sent from Christine's iPhone 4.
"Peace"

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